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  1. David Harper CFA FRM

    Is the Standard Error of a Regression Coefficient Unbiased

    Hi @bradnhopkins I haven't carefully analyzed the derivations in GARP's T1.Chapter 7, and you might be correct (certainly this material contains a lot of mistakes), but I will just note: of course the OLS estimators are unbiased (that's the "U" in BLUE, after all!; BLUE is the Best/most...
  2. David Harper CFA FRM

    Course Study Plan Guide

    Hi Sam (@ucaksbu ) I'll let @Nicole Seaman answer your first set of questions, but I just wanted to weigh in on "there are now 2 exams, one in October, one in November, is the expectation from you guys that these exams are equivalent in what material they cover?" Yes, the October is the...
  3. David Harper CFA FRM

    P1.T3 Chapter13 Practice Questions

    That's super cool @Sixcarbs! Another thing you can do, and I guess it's more of a trick-shortcut is use the signs (+/-) in put-call parity where (+) is long and (-) is short. I always start with protective put equals call plus cash: p + S = c + K*exp(-rT, it's the only one I memorize.. In this...
  4. David Harper CFA FRM

    Cost of liquidation formula

    Hi @clement I don't think it quite works because (n) is just an index in the summation. To illustrate with ridiculously rounded spreads, say we two positions: #1 position: 10 shares of $9.00 / $11.00 with position value of #10 * $10.00 = $100.00; spread, s = (11 - 9)/10 = 20.0% #2 position: 20...
  5. David Harper CFA FRM

    Errors Found in Study Materials P1.T1. Foundations (OLD thread)

    Thank you @Nicole Seaman good find! To your point, I think the note is correct as it is @FRMNinjaLeonardo I think the confusion is that the last term (second bullet) contains σ(M) divisor, but this is the result of taking Jensen's alpha: E(Rp) - Rf = α + β*[E(Rm) - Rf] where β = ρ*σ(p)/σ(m)...
  6. David Harper CFA FRM

    PLEASE READ: Publishing Process for 2020

    And I would just add @carroleo, but i'll be brief, GARP somewhat frenetically reshuffles these P1.T2. LOs, but overall the basic set has been 90% (or unchanged) unchanged in years. The irony is their own new 2020 notes are imperfectly mapped, so next year they will get another revision because...
  7. David Harper CFA FRM

    Errors Found in Study Materials P1.T4. Valuation & Risk Models (OLD thread)

    Hi @Elizabeth_Babalola Yes, you are correct, it should be: ES(X) + ES(Y) ≥ ES(X + Y). Thank you for spotting these typos! @Nicole Seaman I have saved correct version (in ROOT) to T4-VRM-1-Ch1-FR-Measures-v3.01 (but this can await next batch; i.e., let's without publish until we have more to edit)
  8. David Harper CFA FRM

    CAPM in FRM part I book 1 - CML vs SML

    Hi @MagnusNordzell Yes, we agree. Please see my post here https://forum.bionicturtle.com/threads/problems-in-garps-2020-frm-material.23011/post-80349 i.e.,
  9. David Harper CFA FRM

    R8-P1-T1-Elton-CAPM-v3 (Learning Spreadsheet 1 of 2)

    H @Raj Sachdeva That link seems to work for me: https://forum.bionicturtle.com/threads/market-portfolio-and-derivative-of- weight.9919/#post-45560 i.e., please note also some discussion at https://forum.bionicturtle.com/threads/p1-t2-305-minimum-variance-hedge-miller.6800/
  10. David Harper CFA FRM

    FAQ Before Exam BT Study Notes vs. GARP materials

    Hi @Eustice_Langham I think @Nicole Seaman already did a good job answering you, but I will add a bit. In the specific, a P1 (or P2 for that matter) FRM candidate definitely needs to know how to solve a two-asset portfolio expected return and variance. This is highly testable. Previous exams...
  11. David Harper CFA FRM

    L2.T5.43 Multi-period binomial interest rate tree (Tuckman)

    moved duplicate question to where I answered
  12. David Harper CFA FRM

    L2.T5.43 Multi-period binomial interest rate tree (Tuckman)

    Hi @kausthub When Tuckman (Chapter 7) extends the risk-neutral probability example from 1.0 year to 1.5 years (three six month periods, as you say), he only adds to the scenario: the 1.0 year assumptions that informed the risk-neutral (RN) p = 80.24% remain. That is to say, the assumption in...
  13. David Harper CFA FRM

    YouTube T5-02: Expected shortfall (ES)

    Hi @ruben.gasparyan Sure, thank you for visiting our forum to ask :). Here is the XLS I used for the above ES video: https://www.dropbox.com/s/mne5ghyn93nrbqq/091719-expected-shortfall-P2-T5-R35-Dowd-23-ver2-2.xlsx?dl=0 Let me know if you have any questions ...
  14. David Harper CFA FRM

    How many certified FRM's globally? In the USA?

    Hi @Sixcarbs I don't know. But here is the deck from the January webcast: https://www.dropbox.com/s/h5vqsa514k9x5ak/GARP 2020 Candidate Webcast slides.pdf?dl=0 Slide 3 repeats from last year that GARP has "150,000+ members," but I don't know if membership requires an FRM (?)
  15. David Harper CFA FRM

    Copula

    Hi @ChristofferLoov I do agree with the gist of your second and third paragraphs above; i.e., if we want a more thorough view of the different possible outcomes, we probably need to simulate; and copulas allows us to model high tail dependence. The analytical unexpected loss (UL) in Schroeck...
  16. David Harper CFA FRM

    What is best BT resource to brush up on RWA?

    Hi @Sixcarbs sorry for the delay responding; I didn't mean to take you for granted ;) I count the following three as resourceful with respect to risk-weighted assets (RWA) in Part 2; i.e., ORR-14, ORR-19 and ORR-20: [ORR–14] Capital Planning at Large Bank Holding Companies: Supervisory...
  17. David Harper CFA FRM

    Gamma Exposure

    HI @ckwhan Yes, your formula for gamma is correct. I was referring to the same gamma for a non-dividend-paying stock such that q = 0, where q is the dividend yield, and exp(-qt) = exp(0) = 1.0. Yours is better because it's more general. Thanks,
  18. David Harper CFA FRM

    Copula

    Hi @ChristofferLoov Right, well, I am not myself sure that any multivariate normal application is a showcase for the advantage of copulas; if i think in terms of code (I use r #stats) and if the goal is to simulate (eg) multivariate normal, I am not sure why I would need a "copula." I put quotes...
  19. David Harper CFA FRM

    Hypothesis about the difference between two population means.

    @Elizabeth_Babalola Okay, right, that's fair ... I just pulled up the text (thank you @Nicole Seaman for giving the exact reference, that's why I didn't look before because without a pointer it just takes too long to find, but your pointer makes it quicker) .... σ (diff) = sqrt[(2^2 + 1^2 -...
  20. David Harper CFA FRM

    Hypothesis about the difference between two population means.

    HI @Elizabeth_Babalola 0.78 = 0.398 * NORM.S.INV(97.5%) = 0.398 * 1.96 = 0.78. And 1.02 = 0.398 * NORM.S.INV(99.5%) = 0.398 * 2.58 = 1.88, where 1.96 is the 2-tailed 95.0% confident standard normal deviate/quantile and 2.58 is the 2-tailed 99.0% confident standard normal deviate. I admit that my...
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