@Kavita.bhangdia60.2 At current, the Basel II IMA green zone refers to four or fewer exceptions, the red zone
refers to 10 or more, and the yellow zone refers to five through nine (i.e., green <=4, 5 <= yellow
<=9, red >=10). If the Committee increased the green zone from four to five (5) exceptions and
both yellow or red were to signify “reject the VaR model,” the probability of a Type I error
changes from 10.8% to what (assume 250 days)?
a) 4.1%
b) 8.2%
c) 10.8%
d) 12.6%
This is one of David's problem and I am having a really hard time solving this..
Please David can you help? How did you get 10.8% in the first place..?
Similar problem is
Assume a bad 99% VaR model has a true level of coverage of 97%; i.e., losses exceed
VaR 3%*250 days instead of 1%*250 days. Further assume that either a yellow or red zone
outcome signifies rejection of the model. If the Committee were to decrease the green zone
from four exceptions to three exceptions or fewer (green <= 3 exceptions), the probability of a
Type II error would change from 12.8% to what (assume 250 days)?
a) 1.9%
b) 5.7%
c) 10.8%
d) 12.8%
How do you calculate probability of Type 2 error..?
I know probability of type 1 error is 1- CL.
Thanks,
Kavita
When referencing practice questions, please always make sure to post in the original question thread. These two questions are located here in the forum: https://forum.bionicturtle.com/threads/l2-t5-60-basel-ima-backtest.3610/#post-9662. There is a lengthy discussion in the original thread, as is the case with most practice questions, so you may find that many times your question will be answered already. This also helps to cut down on numerous threads being created in the forum about the same questions.
Thank you,
Nicole