Tracking Error

David Harper CFA FRM

David Harper CFA FRM
Subscriber
Hi coquin,

No, 2.00 is the average active return, as shown by the formula.
Tracking error is the standard deviation (volatility) of the active return; hint: it is given as another answer ... i don't want to deny you the pleasure of calculating it, i am here to support you ;)
 

coquin22

New Member
thanks David,
i think the question might be for active return, tracking error should be (2^2+(-4)^2+4^2+(-2)^2)^0.5=6.32
 

David Harper CFA FRM

David Harper CFA FRM
Subscriber
sure, but i think you want [(2^2+(-4)^2+4^2+(-2)^2)/4]^0.5 for the desired answer, I actually think given the small sample that a sample standard deviation would also be acceptable (if not better) but, I guess, that's less conventional: sample volatility = [(2^2+(-4)^2+4^2+(-2)^2)/(n-1)]^0.5
 

ABFRM

Member
sure, but i think you want [(2^2+(-4)^2+4^2+(-2)^2)/4]^0.5 for the desired answer, I actually think given the small sample that a sample standard deviation would also be acceptable (if not better) but, I guess, that's less conventional: sample volatility = [(2^2+(-4)^2+4^2+(-2)^2)/(n-1)]^0.5

it shud be 3 if it is n-1. because it punishes sample variance becuase of its biased estimator.
 

David Harper CFA FRM

David Harper CFA FRM
Subscriber
I totally agree with ABFRM :[(2^2+(-4)^2+4^2+(-2)^2)/4]^0.5 gives the desired answer. 2 is only the average active return, but TE = standard deviation (active return). I also 100% agree with (n-1) as arguably better (i.e., unbiased variance if not standard deviation) but also unconventional. Thanks,
 

ABFRM

Member
@David it makes huge difference in small samples so wat we shud use because a lot of references use n as an denominator.
 

David Harper CFA FRM

David Harper CFA FRM
Subscriber
ABFRM I was just agreeing with you on the theory of (n-1), but I can't recall ever seeing it employed for TE. I have always encountered the population sigma /n; i.e., the MLE estimate if you will, NOT (n-1) the "sample" unbiased estimator. And in the FRM readings, the applications (to my knowledge) have always similarly employed a population standard deviation for TE (pretty sure even Bodie Kane uses population here, although they confuse their terms and call TE --> benchmark risk). I think this is because at small samples sizes, where as you say it makes a difference, the problem is that TE tends not to be significant, just like IR. Significance tends to require a large sample anyway; i.e., (n-1) doesn't do enough to get a useful t-ratio anyway, is basically Grinolds point. For what it's worth,
 
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