frm passing scores i think are not based on absolute scores got by the candidate. THey are actually bases upon relative performance of the candidates. THere is no absolute passing score say 60 or 70 but passing score is determined based on the relative performance of the candidates. take for example GARp first takes average of top 5 % performing candidates say its 75/100 and then a particular ratio say T is used to arrived at passing score say T=70% so that adequate candidates are selected. Hence passing score becomes in range of 70% of 75=49.5 so all in a range of 45-55.if paper is easy then it shoots up and if its difficult it goes down.For L1 last Nov, I scored approx 55/100 correct and my quartiles were Q2, Q2, Q3, Q4 - I failed...I think If I scored 60 I'd have just made it...
Based on the same scaling, 48/80 questions is just above the edge. However, L2 pass rate is quite higher than L1, so I'd revise 48 questions to 42/43. That would be just above the bar. A comfortable score would be 50.
But again these things are very difficult to predict.
the Qs which I can remember for partII were:
Plz pardon me if I am wron in any of these:
Q1. What is the sum of risk contributions equals: ans unexpected losses strraightforward
Q2. first Q in exam asking for change in var with asset comp change was quite calculative my ans: 0
Q3. what is the motive for bank to grant more loans to clients ?
Q4. 2 Qs on RAROC calculation and adjusted RAROC for find. project feasibility?
Q5 find property in vesiveck model i went for option that mean reversion rate is assumed non negative
Q6 find formula for adjusted LVAR as LVAR*=(ER*/ER)xLR
Q7 find the LVAR for the Q given VAR and liquidity adjustment factors
Q8 merton model as that equity is treated as call option in covering debt
Q9 one more Q on merton model regarding reg. choosing option which is correct cose distance to default...option
Q10 one application Q asking on PD=CS/1-RR
Q11 what is the lowest surplus amount possible went for it and got ans -2.2 something
Q12 bullet and barbell needed to find which has greater convexity and duration: naturally bullet has greater duration
Q13 one on MBS needed to find principal paid in 61st month?
Q14 what country associated with originate & distribute model crisis ans:US not ireland
Q15 one on Lehman crisis as what led to it my ans: different perceptions of rating agencies,banks and others
Q16 what is there in Basel II?select one correct option
Q17 one asking on differnece b/w liquidity funding risk and liquidity risk
Q18 find operational capital reqd. using standarized approach?
Q19 what is the probability of default occuring in 3rd year of a bond my ans:18%
Q20 loss frequencies are model using model? negative binomial distbn
Q21 where is friction likely to occur among a set of options choose b/w originator of assets and arranger
Q22 defn of copula which is used to have joint distribution of correlations b/w two asset classes
Q23 find ES for a range of VARs given above a threshold of 95.5%
Q24 QQ plot on predicting among some options guessed it
Q25 EVT the distribution approached GPD above a certain threshold.
Q26 one on binomial model as to find something?
Q27 In valuing MBS what are considered ans is prepayment risk
Q28 to handle the risk of interest rates movements what can be used ans: IO strip bonds
Q29 finding the coupan rate for one of tranche in which the average MBS coupon rate was given? just equate the weighte average of coupon rates to MBS coupon rate
Q30 Find VAR variation for rho ranging from 0 to 1 ans: 5 to 7
Q31 one regarding a scenario given of a trader trading two positions at different times to capture mkt movements was timing strategy
Q32 ERM implementation Q
Q33