basic-historical-simulation

  1. David Harper CFA FRM

    P2.T5.22.1 Basic historical simulation value at risk (HS VaR), lognormal VaR, and expected shortfall (ES)

    Learning objectives: Estimate VaR using a historical simulation approach. Estimate VaR using a parametric approach for both normal and lognormal return distributions. Estimate the expected shortfall given profit and loss (P/L) or return data. Questions: 22.1.1. Peter has collected the daily...
  2. Nicole Seaman

    YouTube T4-02: Historical simulation (HS VaR): Basic and age-weighted

    Basic historical simulation value at risk (HS VaR) sorts the returns in the window and locates the return ranked (1-confidence)%*K+1. Age-weighted HS assigns greater weight to more recent returns. David's XLS is here: https://trtl.bz/2BmVoxW
  3. Nicole Seaman

    YouTube T1-5 What is the (Basic) Historical Simulation approach to value at risk (VaR)?

    Basic historical simulation sorts the actual loss history and, for example, the 95th HS VaR is the 6th worst out of 100 observations. Here is David's XLS: http://trtl.bz/frm-t1-5-hs-var
  4. Nicole Seaman

    P2.T5.702. Nonparametric value at risk (VaR)

    Concept: These on-line quiz questions are not specifically linked to learning objectives, but are instead based on recent sample questions. The difficulty level is a notch, or two notches, easier than bionicturtle.com's typical question such that the intended difficulty level is nearer to an...
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