autocorrelation

  1. David Harper CFA FRM

    P2.T5.22.12. Correlation Properties

    Learning objectives: Describe how equity correlations and correlation volatilities behave throughout various economic states. Calculate a mean reversion rate using standard regression and calculate the corresponding autocorrelation. Identify the best-fit distribution for equity, bond, and...
  2. Nicole Seaman

    P1.T2.20.24. Stationary Time Series: Box-Pierce test and model selection with AIC and BIC

    Learning objectives: Describe sample autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation. Describe the Box-Pierce Q-statistic and the Ljung-Box Q statistic. Questions: 20.24.1. The autocorrelation function (ACF) is typically paired with the partial autocorrelation function (PACF). About the ACF and...
  3. Nicole Seaman

    YouTube T1-4 What is Autocorrelation (and how does it impact scaled volatility)?

    Autocorrelation is a correlation of variable (eg, returns) with itself over time; it is a violation of returns. Positive autocorrelation increases scaled volatility, while negative autocorrelation (aka, mean reversion) decreases scaled volatility. Here is David's XLS: http://trtl.bz/2wSpHrG
  4. P

    AUTOCORRELATION ERROR_INTERPRETATION

    I have a question on Autocorrelation of OLS model. So I encountered a autocorrelation error, and use Cochrane - Orcutt Two-step Procedure(CORC) to fix it. And my OLS became GLS. And I have no idea how to interpret the coefficient on my initial X and Y with the new model. I mean something like...
  5. A

    Estimating Autocorrelation within Equity Markets

    Hello, I am trying to understand how to calculate the autocorrelation of an equity asset. I've attached a spreadsheet with monthly SPY values. I've calculated the arithmetic monthly returns and have run correlations for both the SPY price and returns. For the returns, the autocorrelation is...
  6. S

    Auto correlation

    Analyst in his attempt to develop a model for predicting future correlation between two stock returns, perform auto regression to get below equation p(t) = 0.1 +0.3 p(t-1). What will be the auto correlation for one period lag as calculated with respect to mean reversion? a. 0.7 b. 0.10 c...
  7. G

    R15.P1.T2.DIEBOLD_CH7_PARTIAL_AUTO-CORRELATION

    Hi, In reference to R15.P1.T2.DIEBOLD_CH7_PARTIAL_AUTO-CORRELATION :- I am having a bit of a confusion with the verbiage circled in Red below. What I have managed to understand on this topic is that :- the PACF ( Partial Auto Correlation) allows us to identify the "Order" of the...
  8. T

    Square Root Rule with Mean Reversion & AutoCorrelation - VaR & Volatility

    David, I am now thoroughly confused by the Square Root Rule and scaling the VaR under the circumstance of Mean Reversion and Auto correlation. In search of an explanation, I found this thread http://forum.bionicturtle.com/newreply/1729/ , but your link is not attached anymore. The rules for...
Top