In d1 the S0 in ln(S0/K) is the current price. The meaning is consistent in all formulas that you are citing.
What gave you the impression, that S0 is differently defined somewhere?
Also compare https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Scholes_model
The t-distribution with unlimited df is identical to the normal distribution i.e. Z-table. The 1.96 is valid for a two tailed z-test with 5% confidence level.
I guess the rationale for using the z-test here is, that the variance is known. Because we actually deal with a binominal distribution...
Hi Brian,
I think you are right in that there is no risk if you hold the two notes to the end.
As a reason to care about NPV differences in between, I can think of:
- you might be required to hold capital according to the VaR of your position and the VaR is not zero.
- you might get in trouble...
Here it makes sense to differentiate between an estimator and a sequence of estimators. Often this distinction is very murky.
For example Theta_n (X) = 1/n * (X1 + X2 + ... + Xn)
is an estimator for the expected value for a fixed n. For a n = 1, 2, 3, ... We get an infinite sequence of...
Sorry, i was unclear:
Calculatimg the ES from the probabilities, like it was done in the solution to the original exercise is not historical simulation. Because you calculate from PDs and assumed distributions and not from empirical returns.
But if you conduct a Monte Carlo Simulation, as I...
I guess the short answer is, this is not historical simulation.
The slightly longer answer:
If you would conduct a monte-carlo simulation with the above probabilities and look at the worst 5% of your simulation runs, you would find 0,04% of your runs have 2 defaults, 3,92% have 1 default. Now...
Hi Newkirk,
The mathematically answer is:
If you have two random variables A and B with standard deviation s(A) and s(B), than the standard deciation of the sum A+B is
s(A+B) = sqrt(s(A)^2 + s(B)^2 + 2 * s(A) * s(B) * cov(A,B) )
For example consider two portfolios with A and B being the...
It was stated in the question that the swap was valued at par. I think that means, that the value of floating and fixed leg cancel each other out, independent of the age if the swap.
I gave the same answer, but i'm not so sure, that it is correct. Essentially you valued the fixed leg with ois discounting. Its not clear to me, why that should be the same as the floating leg. They are valued at par with libor discounting, that might be different under ois discounting, right?
Im not 100% sure, but i thought the whole budget was 100 Mio. And from the answers only one was below that. The others were 140 Mio. and above. So i choose the one below the total budget, because of no correlation, the seperate VaRs must be lower than portfolio VaR.
I felt something was missing from the IRS question. The 2 year swap payed 6% fix and vas valued at par. I.e. Was worth zero. The question was the value of the floating leg with ois rates 5% for first year and 5.5% for 2 years. I think you need the current libor fixing and the forward rate from...
The higher the correlation the more useless the cda. There were two graphs that showed decreasing value of cds with correlation. I choose the one that eventually ended at zero, since the cds is worth nothing, if the correlation is one. At least thats true if the recovery rate is zero. I can't...
No, pass/fail is determined on your total score. Garp uses a secret algorithm for that that every year magically results in c.a. 45% passing for Part 1 and 55% for part 2 (+- 3%).
Exactly that one. I choose the first, because i thought whatever decreaes the RAROC also decreases the sharpe ratio and why 14 PCs should be necessary and 13 wouldn't be enough, was not clear to me. But that was wild guessing.
I think we all had a different numbering. But i came to the conclusion, that it was contrary to the old questions. I choose light tails as an answer and the old question if i remember correctly had heavy tails as an answer. I might be wrong though. What was your answer?
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