The GARCH(1,1) volatility estimate shares a similarity to EWMA volatility: both assign greater (lesser) weight to recent (distant) returns. But the GARCH(1,1) has an additional feature: it models a long-run (aka, unconditional) variance toward which the volatility series is pulled.
David's XLS...
How is the variance calculated? I'm sort of stuck on this problem, although I was able to understand it during the 6-sided die example.
Thanks for any help!
I've noticed that when calculating VaR/variance/std. dev of 2+ assets (or portfolio), sometimes the correlation/covariance is included, and sometimes it's not.
I.e. for standard deviation of 2 assets:
sqrt[w(1)^2*variance(1) + w(2)^2*variance(2)+2*w(1)*w(2)+covariance(1,2)] where (1) = asset 1...
The variance is a key measure of dispersion, it is the expected value of the squared difference between each value and the mean. The population variance is the "true" variance, but realistically in most cases, we have a sample (rather than a population) such that our unbiased estimate of the...
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