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  1. David Harper CFA FRM

    What's wrong with my PV calc?

    Hi @Amierul No, sorry, I do not know: I am getting the same $3,769.35 when I omit the PV keystroke (because when reset/cleared the default for PV should already be zero). However, I never run the solution this way. I always input four variables, and solve for the 5th. I don't see the value in...
  2. David Harper CFA FRM

    P1.T1.611. Arbitrage pricing theory (APT) (Topic Review)

    Hi @AZamo1526 Because only one leg of the long/short trade is mispriced which is the short on mis-priced B. Specifically, the arb trade is short B with $1.0 and use these $1.0 funds to buy $500K of each of A an C (keep in mind: this 50/50 is the only way to match the 0.9 beta such as to...
  3. David Harper CFA FRM

    YouTube T4-31: Fixed income: Carry roll down

    Hi @novenagates Thank you. The carry-roll-down is the component of the price change due to the passage of time, and it does depend on which of the three scenarios is assumed. In the case of my YouTube video above, the initial state is a 1.5 year bond (i.e., three six-month periods) with an...
  4. David Harper CFA FRM

    Chapter 5 question 5.5.

    Hi @FRM_STUDY GARP had MANY of errors in the 2020 print, and that was one of them. Given betas of -1, 0 and 1, your solution WOULD correct! However, I don't think there was even a basis for determining those betas in the prior question. But for some unexplained reason they assumed betas of -1...
  5. David Harper CFA FRM

    P2.T10.22.5. LIBOR transition according to FMSB

    Learning objectives: Discuss regulatory expectations on LIBOR transition and how these expectations can help market participants in their management of conduct risk arising from the transition. Analyze the risks of LIBOR transition from both sell-side and buy-side perspectives and give examples...
  6. David Harper CFA FRM

    P1.T3.21.14. Tailing the hedge

    Learning objectives: Calculate the profit and loss on a short or long hedge. Compute the optimal number of futures contracts needed to hedge an exposure and explain and calculate the “tailing the hedge” adjustment. Explain how to use stock index futures contracts to change a stock portfolio’s...
  7. David Harper CFA FRM

    Chapter 6 Question 705.3

    Hi @v.modaher Yes, the "(0.50)" is meant to convey a negative beta, otherwise denoted "-0.50" such that the unexpected return is given by (emphasis mine) the expression: 0.80*(2.0 - 1.0%) + (-0.50)*(1.0% - 1.0%) + 1.30*(1.5% - 0.5%). Thanks, David
  8. David Harper CFA FRM

    YouTube T1-8 Capital market line (CML) versus security market line (SML)

    Hi @Amierul I think weight is just implicit in the (right-hand) CML where the slope of the CML is the Sharpe ratio of the market portfolio, [E(Rm) - Rf]/σ(M). So, the implicitly the weight to the market portfolio is σ(P)/σ(M); e.g., if σ(P)/σ(M) = 0.70 then 70% weight to market portfolio and...
  9. David Harper CFA FRM

    YouTube T1-8 Capital market line (CML) versus security market line (SML)

    Hi @Amierul Because the SML is effectively a straight line in the slope-intercept form, y = mx + b where the constant slope is the market's excess return, E(Rm) - Rf, and the X-axis is beta, β. So just to map to this more-familiar y = mx + b --> [E(Rm) - Rf] = m and β = x. If the correlation...
  10. David Harper CFA FRM

    Lognormal VaR formula on FR_T5_pq_final video lesson

    Hi @Randy Moon In the lognormal formula P(t-1) is simply the price base and it can be included/excluded (like any VaR) depending on whether we seek the return (%) or the dollar ($) VaR. In the example, where μ = 10% and σ = 20%, we can say that the 95% lognormal VaR is given by 1 - exp(10% -...
  11. David Harper CFA FRM

    Derivation of minimum variance portfolio

    Hi @Amierul In the MPV/PPC/CAPM worksheet, any negative values are weights (e.g., volatilities must be positive) and the weight of an asset (in the PPC) or the weight allocated to the risk-free rate (in the CML) can be negative. For an asset, negative signifies that we are shorting the asset...
  12. David Harper CFA FRM

    YouTube T5-01: Lognormal Value at Risk

    Thanks, but the words about mathematics are imprecise, and is why I often use a numerical illustration (e.g., what is the mathematical meaning "absolute"? Well, it depends on the context). And mathematics is not the only domain. I'm trained in data science which relies on statistics and...
  13. David Harper CFA FRM

    YouTube T5-01: Lognormal Value at Risk

    HI @mreshko Oh okay, I did not realize that's what you meant originally. I don't mean to suggest that "normal VaR" comports with a good stochastic model for asset prices. (lognormal VaR matches one of your examples, of course). You probably know more than me in this regard. We define normal...
  14. David Harper CFA FRM

    YouTube T5-01: Lognormal Value at Risk

    Nah it was just an typo, like i said, an obvious typo. Back in the day, we used to call P1/P0 the "wealth ratio," then take LN(.) of the vector of "wealth ratios," when computing volatility; and another column that (. - 1) to the wealth ratio vector to give the simple returns. Or, really, wealth...
  15. David Harper CFA FRM

    YouTube T5-01: Lognormal Value at Risk

    @mreshko In haste to reply to you (and get to my lunch), I simply misplaced the "-1", obviously. Fixed above. Simple return versus geometric (aka, continuously compounded) return, is the difference. But thank you for the dramatic "never seen"s, lol :) Next time I'll just refer you to the video.
  16. David Harper CFA FRM

    YouTube T5-01: Lognormal Value at Risk

    Hi @mreshko Thank you. No, the assumption of arithmetic returns does not imply that drift and standard deviation are expressed in dollar (money) units. Your question contains a few different terms, I will use Kevin Dowd's (aka, GARP's since he is their longstanding author for this) terms: The...
  17. David Harper CFA FRM

    P.2 T5 Dowd study notes pg 10 confidence intervals

    Hi @bollengc Yes, I've included your recommendation in our PM (see below). Thank you for taking the time to offer such a specific recommendation!
  18. David Harper CFA FRM

    P1.T3.21.12. Futures markets

    Learning objectives: Define and describe the key features and specifications of a futures contract, including the underlying asset, the contract price and size, trading volume, open interest, delivery, and limits. Explain the convergence of futures and spot prices ... Describe the application of...
  19. David Harper CFA FRM

    Exam Feedback May 2021 Part 2 Exam Feedback

    Hi @superturtle "time-weighted discrete default rate" has never been a term in the FRM. It sounds like a lazy mashup of De Laurentis's default rate (itself already redundantly discrete; i.e., what would continuous imply in this context? But that author has errors we've already submitted) and...
  20. David Harper CFA FRM

    Eurodollar and its convexity

    Sure thing, after i posted, I found this (at CME group) because (to be honest) I just wanted to confirm that wrt to the ED vs FRA convexity bias, that it is the FRA that has slight convexity bias (this bias is much smaller than the typical convexity we observe in bonds)...
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